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第三十二节 基本面分析

admin 于2017-4-19 11:00:54发表 显示全部楼层
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  • 第五十八节 趋势分析的活用
  • 第二节 为什么购买股票
  • 第四十节 型态分析--继续型态
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所谓基本面,是指对影响股票市场走势的一些基础性因素的状况,通过对基本面进行分析,可以把握决定股价变动的基本因素,是股票投资分析的基础。

基本面因素主要包括:

(1)宏观经济状况。从长期和根本上看,股票市场的走势和变化是由一国经济发展水平和经济景气状况所决定的,股票市场价格波动也在很大程度上反映了宏观经济状况的变化。从国外证券市场历史走势不难发现,股票市场的变动趋势大体上与经济周期相吻合。在经济繁荣时期,企业经营状况好,盈利多,其股票价格也在上涨。经济不景气时,企业收入减少,利润下降,也将导致其股票价格不断下跌。但是股票市场的走势与经济周期限在时间上并不是完全一致的,通常,股票市场的变化要有一定的超前,因此股市价格被称作是宏观经济的晴雨表。

(2)利率水平。在影响股票市场走势的诸多因素中,利率是一个比较敏感的因素。一般来说,利率上升,可能会将一部分资金吸引到银行储蓄系统,从而养活了股票市场的资金量,对股价造成一定的影响。同时,由于利率上升,企业经营成本增加,利润减少,也相应地会使股票价格有所下跌。反之,利率降低,人们出于保值增值的内在需要,可能会将更多的资金投向股市,从而刺激股票价格的上涨。同时,由于利率降低,企业经营成本降低,利润增加,也相应地促使股票价格上涨。

(3)通货膨胀。这一因素对股票市场走势有利有弊,既有刺激市场的作用,又有压抑市场的作用,但总的来看是弊大于利,它会推动股市的泡沫成分加大。在通货膨胀初期,由于货币借助应增加会刺激生产和消费,增长率加企业的盈利,从而促使股票价格上涨。但通货膨胀到了一定程度时,将会推动利率上扬,从而促使股价下跌。

(4)企业素质。对于具体的个股而言,影响其价位高低的主要因素在于企业本身的内在素质,包括财务状况、经营情况、管理水平、技术能力、市场大小、行业特点、发展潜力等一系列因素。

(5)政治因素。指对股票市场发生直接或间接影响的政治方面的原因,如国际的政治形势,政治事件,国家之间的关系,重要的政治领导人的变换等等,这些都会对股价产生巨大的、突发性的影响。这也是基本面中应该考虑的一个重要方面。


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ws3QW9z8T  发表于 2017-4-24 16:23:10 | 显示全部楼层

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张小  发表于 2017-4-25 11:57:26 | 显示全部楼层

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Y6f3FrjDu5  发表于 2017-4-25 12:16:04 | 显示全部楼层

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oSzZh4Nsd  发表于 2017-4-25 13:44:57 | 显示全部楼层

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oSzZh4Nsd  发表于 2017-4-25 13:53:03 | 显示全部楼层

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krb5cGq2y0d  发表于 2017-5-8 11:17:31 | 显示全部楼层

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曹明  发表于 2017-5-8 13:16:06 | 显示全部楼层

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曹明  发表于 2017-5-8 13:24:06 | 显示全部楼层

week fitness maintain cardiopulmonary function.

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6yq8Cb1P4  发表于 2017-5-9 00:17:17 | 显示全部楼层

parallel bars and more exercise

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